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Lightning talk: Viés de Sobrevivência

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Julio Biason 6 months ago
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<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
<meta charset="utf-8">
<title>Viés de Sobrevivência</title>
<meta name="description" content="O que é o cargo cult">
<meta name="author" content="Julio Biason">
<meta name="apple-mobile-web-app-capable" content="yes">
<meta name="apple-mobile-web-app-status-bar-style" content="black-translucent">
<meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1.0, maximum-scale=1.0, user-scalable=no, minimal-ui">
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</head>
<body>
<div class="reveal">
<div class="slides">
<section>
<section data-background="_images/survivorship-bias.png" data-header>
<h1 class="semi-opaque">Viés de Sobre-<br/>vivência</h1>
</section>
</section>
<section>
<p>
<strong>Falácia</strong>: O termo falácia deriva do verbo
latino fallere, que significa enganar. Designa-se por
falácia um raciocínio errado com aparência de verdadeiro.
</p>
</section>
<section>
<img src="_images/cargo-cult-presentation.png" class="stretch"/>
</section>
<section>
<img src="_images/survivorship-bias.png" class="stretch"/>
</section>
<section>
<p>"Bill Gates não se formou e é bilionário."</p>
<p class="fragment">"Steve Jobs não era formado e era bilionário."</p>
<p class="fragment">"Mark Zuckenberg não é formado e é bilionário."</p>
<p class="fragment"><strong>
... logo, universidade não vai te fazer rico.
</strong></p>
</section>
<section>
<ol>
<li><strong>Quantas pessoas se formaram e ficaram ricas?</strong></li>
<li class="fragment"><strong>Quantas pessoas largaram a univerdade e não ficaram ricas?</strong></li>
</ol>
</section>
<section>
<p>"Vamos usar a tecnologia X porque tem vários relatos de empresas usando e dando certo."</p>
<p class="fragment"><strong>
Quantas empresas usaram e deu errado, ou a tecnologia se tornou um problema?
</strong> </p>
</section>
<section>
<h2>"O que está faltando?"</h2>
</section>
<section data-background='_images/thats-all-folks.jpg'>
</section>
</div>
</div>
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